Is my marketing actually working?

Five questions, about two minutes. Payback in months first — the number that doesn't depend on any guess about the future — then what it's worth over time, shown as a range because nobody can honestly know that one exactly.

The route
What it costWhat they're worthHow long they stay
What it costthe number you already have, or your best one
What they're worthrevenue and margin, so we can work out profit
How long they staythe one honest guess this whole ratio rests on

Free, and no card. One question asks for a guess on purpose — you'll give a low and a high, not a single invented number.

Informational only — not audit, attest, legal, tax, or investment advice. This is arithmetic on the figures you enter; it is only as good as they are.

A ratio is only as honest as the guess behind it

Most cost-per-acquisition math stops at a ratio — LTV:CAC, with three-to-one held up as some kind of law. The ratio hides two things: whether the business can actually survive the wait to collect that lifetime value, and how much of the ratio is really just an assumption about how long a customer sticks around.

This tool puts payback first because it doesn’t need that assumption — it’s just what a customer cost, divided by what one is worth per month. The ratio comes after, as a range built from your own low and high guess about retention, so the uncertainty is visible instead of buried inside one confident-looking number.

It also names the question a ratio can never answer on its own: whether these customers would have shown up anyway. That takes an actual test to find out, not a formula — so this tool explains the test instead of pretending to run it.

Frequently asked questions

Why does payback come before the LTV:CAC ratio?

Payback needs nothing but what a customer already cost and what one is worth per month — no guess about the future required, so it's the one number here that's exact. LTV:CAC needs a retention assumption nobody can honestly make, so it's shown beneath, as a range, rather than leading with a number that looks more certain than it is.

Why do I have to give a low and a high guess for retention, instead of just one number?

Because a single figure would look precise and isn't. Retention is the one assumption in this tool nobody can know in advance, so it's asked for as a range from the start — not offered only if you skip a straight question. Both ends get computed in full, and the swing between them is exactly the lesson: a wide swing means the ratio isn't trustworthy yet, a narrow one means it barely matters.

What is incrementality, and why doesn't this tool compute it?

It's the question of whether a customer would have bought anyway, without the marketing. It's the most honest question in marketing and the one almost nobody asks, because answering it takes an actual test — a holdout, where a comparable slice of the business sees none of the spend for a while and gets compared to everyone else. Nothing in this tool measures that, so nothing in it invents a score for it. The results page explains the test instead.

What CAC figure should I use?

Your best one. If you've run True Cost Per Customer, use the fully loaded figure from there — it's the honest one. If all you have is ad spend divided by customers won, that works too, but understands you're probably understating the real cost.

Do I need an account?

No. Payback, the LTV:CAC range and the incrementality explanation are all free with no email wall. Signing in only keeps the result so a later run can show you what moved.